COVID-19: 10/28/2020 (State, Local, UTK, KCS)

Tennessee Daily Cases 10.28.2020 (Source: TN.gov)

Halfway through the week and under a week until election day. How are you doing? Are you finding some joy along the way? I’m enjoying the fall color, which is shaping up to be beautiful in East Tennessee. Even the rain for the next couple of days feels kind of cozy. Cooler temps are on the way, the hum of football on the television on Saturdays feels normal, even if the schedule has been a bit rearranged.

Even reading to the kids is a nightly comfort, as we’ve just finished our fourth book together (Hatchet) and are starting the fifth. They seem to favor survival stories, for now. Don’t we all?

State News:

Yesterday, the state of Tennessee reported 1,908 new cases, the lowest number in the last week. Pandemic totals are now 238,124 confirmed cases and 13,650 probable cases. 222,348 people have recovered, and 12,569 people have active cases. The state has averaged 2,601 new cases per day over the last week.

The state also reported 44 additional deaths for the day, bringing the pandemic total to 3,207. After hovering in the range of twenty to thirty per day for about ten weeks, the number has quickly escalated, setting a pandemic high for the average two days ago and breaking it yesterday. The new average number of daily deaths in Tennessee is 36. Yesterday’s number was the 8th highest in the U.S. for the day.

77 additional COVID-positive Tennesseans were admitted to hospitals yesterday, bringing the total to 10,062 who have been hospitalized at some point. Hospital data has become murky. Clearly, the numbers are increasing, yet several of the last few days, a decrease is reported, only to be revised upward 24 hours later as more hospitals report. Yesterday I reported 1,223 hospitalized, 368 in the ICU and 159 on ventilators. State numbers for that day now read 1371, 389, 170, which tells quite a different story.

Interestingly, the state never revises the numbers on its front interface. Starting tomorrow, I’m going to report the numbers from two days previous, as they will be more accurate. Using the revised number for yesterday, the number of COVID-positive Tennesseans in the hospital has increased 73% in the last six weeks. Today’s numbers reflect a decrease from yesterday but, I assume, will be subject to upward revision. As stated above, I will report them tomorrow.

Tennessee Daily Testing and Positive Test Result Rate 10.28.2020 (Source: Johns Hopkins University)

Reported testing numbers, as you would guess from the decreased case numbers, declined sharply yesterday to about 16,500 from 22,700 the day before and 41,600 two days previous. The total for the pandemic is almost 3.6 million. The state reported the positive test rate for this group at 11.43%. The seven-day average, as compiled by Johns Hopkins University, remained at 9.6% for the second day, the highest it has been since April.

Knox County Daily Cases 10.28.2020 (Source: Knox County Health Department)

Local News:

The Knox County Health Department is reporting 105 new cases for the day, the fifth consecutive day over 100. It’s the first time the county has reported 100 or more cases on five consecutive days since early September. The new cases bring the pandemic totals to 12,828 confirmed cases and 626 probable cases.

11,879 people have recovered or are considered inactive, while there are 1,472 active cases in the county. 467 COVID-positive Knox County residents have been hospitalized at some time and 69 are currently hospitalized. Two additional deaths were reported, bringing the total to 103 Knox County residents who have died with the disease.

Each of the newly reported deaths were people over the age of 75. For the first time in many months, perhaps since the beginning of the pandemic, over half of the deaths reported are among those who are over 75 years old. The split is now 52 people 75 or older and 51 people below the age of 75.

The five benchmarks were also updated and the benchmark for new cases was changed from red to yellow. The benchmark for testing levels and return time was kept at yellow, while the public health capacity remained green. Both hospital capacity and death rate benchmarks were kept at yellow.

The state website reports the Knox County seven-day average for positive test results to be 8.9%, up from yesterday’s 8.5%.

The Board of Health meets this afternoon at 5pm and if you’d like to watch it live, it is available on the Knox County Youtube channel or on CTV or the CTV website. Of course, I plan to bring you a run down of the meeting tomorrow.

University of Tennessee Active Cases 10.28.2020 (Source: University of Tennessee)

University of Tennessee News:

The University of Tennessee is reporting 60 active cases among students and staff, a drop of three from yesterday. There have been seven additional confirmed cases of COVID-19. The number of students and staff in isolation or quarantine continues to ebb and flow at a relatively low level. There are currently 304 in isolation or quarantine, including 37 employees and 267 students. The number is up slightly from yesterday and is at its highest in the last five days.

There have been no additional clusters.

Knox County Schools Active Cases 10.28.2020 (Source: Knox County Schools)

Knox County Schools News:

The Knox County Schools are reporting 72 active cases, up from 64 the previous day, but consistent with recent levels. The number includes 27 staff members and 45 students. 500 students and staff have recovered from the illness

The number of staff and students showed a sharp increase from the previous day, with 909 in quarantine or isolation. The number includes 115 staff and 794 students. It’s the highest the number has been since October 8. Both cases and isolations have shown a jump after fall break, as compared to before the break.

All metrics remain green with the exception of custodial availability (yellow) and substitute availability (red). All schools remain open to in-person learning.

Comments

  1. Alan, thank you for your updates. Each one makes me more committed to wearing a mask, only supporting those businesses that require masks, AND supporting our Health Dept and Board of Health.

  2. concerned parent 2 says

    73% increase in covid-related hospitalizations over the last 6 weeks; highest ever 7-day average of new cases per day in the state this week; highest 7-day average of positive test rate in TN in the last 7 months… And parents get to decide if their kids will be going back to KCS schools virtually or in person next semester within the next 8 days. My kids are begging (almost demanding) to go back in person after languishing at home in virtual school this semester but these numbers… The ridiculous requirement to select our binding option 2 full months before the start of classes is not my favorite decision KCS has made.

  3. I wear a mask.
    I social distance.
    I protect my wife and mother-in-law.
    I’m grateful for your reporting.

  4. Thank you for this daily report. It’s truly been a daily beacon of hope and fact-based data during these dark times.

    As a local 5th grade teacher, I suggest Hatchet (and all Gary Paulson) to all my students, and so many fall in love with that story! Another great survival book is My Side of the Mountain-and for a Sci-fi twist with heart, The Wild Robot.

    Thanks again for all you do!

  5. Very grateful 😎

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